Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.107706 0.164719 0.231741 0.313816 0.409445 0.515531 0.640437
2025-12-28 0.046115 0.113622 0.209539 0.341939 0.509781 0.707729 0.952107
2026-01-04 0.019535 0.083485 0.191948 0.355400 0.573968 0.840939 1.178961
2026-01-11 0.009034 0.071161 0.194188 0.391595 0.664835 1.005771 1.443854
2026-01-18 0.002852 0.059023 0.191800 0.417911 0.740484 1.150229 1.683091
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.042780 0.176283 0.421153 0.782820 1.251335 1.868510
2026-02-01 NaN 0.022867 0.143432 0.391451 0.775720 1.286444 1.970263
2026-02-08 NaN 0.008537 0.109790 0.353005 0.751291 1.295564 2.036798
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003104 0.093387 0.340840 0.762741 1.350378 2.159755
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001219 0.087590 0.347429 0.801827 1.442050 2.329765
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000098 0.077812 0.343894 0.824181 1.510340 2.469315
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.063319 0.326800 0.823302 1.545537 2.565159
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.067920 0.355586 0.899737 1.692519 2.812698
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.072136 0.383961 0.976415 1.841114 3.064113
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.070941 0.398720 1.030438 1.957740 3.273403
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.079096 0.437062 1.123916 2.130374 3.556969
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.083087 0.464992 1.200206 2.278951 3.809113
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.077597 0.468417 1.235500 2.369624 3.985021
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.060147 0.436934 1.210410 2.373644 4.045670
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.042025 0.396082 1.165929 2.347825 4.065056
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.034196 0.383131 1.168779 2.389347 4.173566
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.032310 0.390148 1.207482 2.483327 4.352838
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.027893 0.386384 1.226064 2.547531 4.491833